The n-type TOPCon technology has shown prominent advantages, and will cover a market share of 25% this year, said Li Bingzhi, Senior Manager of Technology Marketing Jinko Solar China at the 10th Guangdong Photovoltaic Forum held by Sun Yat-sen University and industry media Solarbe yesterday.
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“In 2023, TOPCon technology achieved rapid volume increase in the short term by virtue of its advantages of cost reduction and efficiency increase. The development of cell is a continuous iterative process. Currently, the mass production efficiency that PERC can achieve is 23.2% to 23.4%, with a theoretical limit efficiency of 24.5%. If the efficiency is raised by 0.6%-0.7% per year, there is not much space left for PERC. In 2022, the mass production efficiency of Jinko n-type TOPCon cells has exceeded 25%, while the theoretical limit efficiency of n-type TOPCon cells is 28.7%. So we still have great potential,” said Li.
In terms of power generation performance, n-type products have lower attenuation, with only 1% of attenuation in the first year and only 0.4% of linear attenuation thereafter, while the relevant data for p-type products are 2% and 0.45%, respectively.
From the perspective of technical parameters, n-type products perform better in power output, as well as lower temperature coefficient and lower attenuation rate. The data shows that n-type products can achieve 3% of improvement in power generation performance compared to p-type, and have higher reliability. It can also achieve a 30-year warranty for both single-sided and bifacial products, according to Wang.
Wang also added that for solar modules of the same size, the output power of n-type products is 20-25W higher than that of p-type products. In terms of power generation, n-type modules can increase by about 3% compared to p-type, which means an increase in the yield of 0.4% to 0.6%.
According to data prediction, the market share of n-type TOPCon technology will reach over 25% in 2023, and by 2025, its market share will exceed the total of other cell technologies, reaching 54%.